MANIFOLD
US Politics
AI
News
Browse
About
App
Sign in
Dark
Light
(auto)
OpenAI
Deepseek
Israel Ceasefire
TikTok Ban
LA Fire
Oscars 2025
H5N1
Trump
Cabinet
Nintendo Switch 2
Trudeau Resigns
Hard Forkcasts 2025
Korea
Biden
House Speaker
Sora
Bitcoin
2028 Election
AGI Timelines
Taylor Swift
Elon/Tesla
Sama Drama
AI Math
Twitter
ACX 2024
One Piece
Music AI Race
Hard Forkasts 2024
AI 2025
2028 Election
Joshua
Manifold Politics
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
28%
Other
Yes
No
27%
JD Vance (Vice President)
Yes
No
12%
Gavin Newsom (California Governor)
Yes
No
5%
Pete Buttigieg (Biden Secretary of Transportation)
Yes
No
See 18 more answers
161
Ṁ22k
PREDYX
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
26%
JD Vance
Yes
No
20%
Other
Yes
No
17%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Yes
No
See 38 more answers
739
Ṁ160k
Dylan Slagh
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
26%
JD Vance
Yes
No
19%
Other
Yes
No
17%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Yes
No
See 57 more answers
465
Ṁ20k
Dylan Slagh
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
31%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
15%
Other
Yes
No
10%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Yes
No
5%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
See 77 more answers
1720
Ṁ29k
Dylan Slagh
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
51%
JD Vance
Yes
No
20%
Other
Yes
No
8%
Donald Trump Jr
Yes
No
6%
Marco Rubio
Yes
No
See 33 more answers
672
Ṁ20k
PREDYX
2028 Democratic nominee?
38%
Other
Yes
No
29%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Yes
No
5%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
See 9 more answers
197
Ṁ23k
PREDYX
2028 Republican nominee?
51%
JD Vance
Yes
No
16%
Other
Yes
No
7%
Donald Trump Jr
Yes
No
5%
Marco Rubio
Yes
No
See 12 more answers
392
Ṁ46k
skibidist
2028 Democratic candidate is "Trump of the Dems"?
16%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
54
Ṁ273
Scott Alexander
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
75%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
2487
Ṁ5.5k
Politics
News
Browse
About
Sign in