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OpenAI

When will OpenAI release o3-mini to ChatGPT Plus subscribers?
Resolved
YES
Before February 2025
Resolved
YES
Before March 2025
Resolved
YES
Before April 2025
Resolved
YES
Before June 2025
When will OpenAI's o3 model release to ChatGPT Pro users?
Resolved
NO
before February 2025
Resolved
NO
before April 2025
Resolved
YES
before June 2025
Resolved
YES
before August 2025
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By when will OpenAI broadly release the model expected to be called GPT-5?
Resolved
NO
Before June 2024
Resolved
NO
Before July 2024
Resolved
NO
Before August 2024
Resolved
NO
Before September 2024
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Will anyone manage to get OpenAI Sora to generate explicitly pornographic videos in the three months after release?NO
AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]2,036
Will OpenAI pay scientific publishers for content by EOY 2025?19% chance
What will be true of OpenAI's Sora* model, at the end of 2025? [*see description]
42%
A youtube video made only with Sora will get > 100M views
26%
It will be the SOTA for text to video
5%
It can generate videos over 10 minutes long
1%
A third major version of the model has been released
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Will the US government take control of OpenAI or its major technologies before 2030?21% chance
Will OpenAI hint at [read description] or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?2% chance
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